Market Saturation Index

HVAC Technicians Market Saturation
by State (2024)

HVAC technicians install, maintain, and repair heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration systems. Use this data to find states with the most demand and the least competition before you commit to getting licensed.

1:857

National average

Idaho

1 per 561 residents

Most competitive market

District Of Columbia

1 per 1,898 residents

Most opportunity

Nationally, there is 1 hvac technician for every 857 residents. States below this ratio have more professionals per capita than average — a more competitive market. States above it have fewer — more room for new entrants.

All States — Ranked by Saturation

Sorted from most saturated (most competitive) to least saturated (most opportunity).

Rank	State	Employed	Population	Ratio	vs. National	Saturation
1	Idaho	3,570	2,001,619	1 per 561 residents	35% above average	🔴 Very High
2	Delaware	1,790	1,051,917	1 per 588 residents	31% above average	🔴 Very High
3	Florida	38,290	23,372,215	1 per 610 residents	29% above average	🔴 Very High
4	Vermont	1,050	648,493	1 per 618 residents	28% above average	🔴 Very High
5	Arkansas	4,890	3,088,354	1 per 632 residents	26% above average	🔴 Very High
6	Virginia	13,640	8,811,195	1 per 646 residents	25% above average	🔴 Very High
7	Nebraska	3,080	2,005,465	1 per 651 residents	24% above average	🔴 Very High
8	Utah	5,370	3,503,613	1 per 652 residents	24% above average	🔴 Very High
9	New Hampshire	2,120	1,409,032	1 per 665 residents	22% above average	🔴 Very High
10	Maine	2,110	1,405,012	1 per 666 residents	22% above average	🔴 Very High
11	Colorado	8,870	5,957,493	1 per 672 residents	22% above average	🔴 Very High
12	Tennessee	10,510	7,227,750	1 per 688 residents	20% above average	🔴 Very High
13	Arizona	10,850	7,582,384	1 per 699 residents	18% above average	🟠 High
14	Alabama	7,330	5,157,699	1 per 704 residents	18% above average	🟠 High
15	North Dakota	1,100	796,568	1 per 724 residents	16% above average	🟠 High
16	Kansas	4,100	2,970,606	1 per 725 residents	15% above average	🟠 High
17	Kentucky	6,230	4,588,372	1 per 736 residents	14% above average	🟠 High
18	Michigan	13,720	10,140,459	1 per 739 residents	14% above average	🟠 High
19	Missouri	8,360	6,245,466	1 per 747 residents	13% above average	🟠 High
20	Nevada	4,240	3,267,467	1 per 771 residents	10% above average	🟠 High
21	Pennsylvania	16,930	13,078,751	1 per 773 residents	10% above average	🟠 High
22	North Carolina	13,750	11,046,024	1 per 803 residents	6% above average	🟠 High
23	Iowa	3,990	3,241,488	1 per 812 residents	5% above average	🟠 High
24	South Dakota	1,130	924,669	1 per 818 residents	5% above average	🟠 High
25	Connecticut	4,440	3,675,069	1 per 828 residents	3% above average	🟠 High
26	Rhode Island	1,320	1,112,308	1 per 843 residents	2% above average	🟡 Moderate
27	Oklahoma	4,820	4,095,393	1 per 850 residents	1% above average	🟡 Moderate
28	South Carolina	6,370	5,478,831	1 per 860 residents	At national average	🟡 Moderate
29	New York	22,710	19,867,248	1 per 875 residents	2% below average	🟡 Moderate
30	Ohio	13,570	11,883,304	1 per 876 residents	2% below average	🟡 Moderate
31	New Jersey	10,680	9,500,851	1 per 890 residents	4% below average	🟡 Moderate
32	Massachusetts	7,960	7,136,171	1 per 897 residents	5% below average	🟡 Moderate
33	Indiana	7,620	6,924,275	1 per 909 residents	6% below average	🟡 Moderate
34	Louisiana	5,040	4,597,740	1 per 912 residents	6% below average	🟡 Moderate
35	Georgia	12,210	11,180,878	1 per 916 residents	7% below average	🟡 Moderate
36	Alaska	790	740,133	1 per 937 residents	9% below average	🟡 Moderate
37	Texas	32,070	31,290,831	1 per 976 residents	14% below average	🟡 Moderate
38	Maryland	6,380	6,263,220	1 per 982 residents	15% below average	🟡 Moderate
39	Mississippi	2,960	2,943,045	1 per 994 residents	16% below average	🟢 Low
40	Wisconsin	5,930	5,960,975	1 per 1,005 residents	17% below average	🟢 Low
41	Wyoming	570	587,618	1 per 1,031 residents	20% below average	🟢 Low
42	Montana	1,050	1,137,233	1 per 1,083 residents	26% below average	🟢 Low
43	Minnesota	5,190	5,793,151	1 per 1,116 residents	30% below average	🟢 Low
44	Washington	7,090	7,958,180	1 per 1,122 residents	31% below average	🟢 Low
45	Oregon	3,690	4,272,371	1 per 1,158 residents	35% below average	🟢 Low
46	California	34,020	39,431,263	1 per 1,159 residents	35% below average	🟢 Low
47	New Mexico	1,820	2,130,256	1 per 1,170 residents	37% below average	🟢 Low
48	West Virginia	1,450	1,769,979	1 per 1,221 residents	42% below average	🟢 Low
49	Hawaii	1,110	1,446,146	1 per 1,303 residents	52% below average	🟢 Low
50	Illinois	8,510	12,710,158	1 per 1,494 residents	74% below average	🟢 Low
51	District Of Columbia	370	702,250	1 per 1,898 residents	121% below average	🟢 Low

Source: BLS OEWS May 2024 · US Census Vintage 2024 · SOC 49-9021

🟢 LOW Saturation — Most Opportunity

Fewer hvac technicians per resident means less competition for clients, higher potential rates, and easier path to building a sustainable book of business. Ideal if you're entering the profession or relocating.

🔴 VERY HIGH Saturation — Need to Differentiate

Many hvac technicians per resident means you'll face more competition. Success in these markets requires a niche specialization, strong referral network, or competitive pricing. Not impossible — just harder.

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← Back to Market Saturation Index

HVAC Technicians Market Saturation
by State (2024)

1:857

National average

Idaho

1 per 561 residents

Most competitive market

District Of Columbia

1 per 1,898 residents

Most opportunity

All States — Ranked by Saturation

Sorted from most saturated (most competitive) to least saturated (most opportunity).

Rank	State	Employed	Population	Ratio	vs. National	Saturation
1	Idaho	3,570	2,001,619	1 per 561 residents	35% above average	🔴 Very High
2	Delaware	1,790	1,051,917	1 per 588 residents	31% above average	🔴 Very High
3	Florida	38,290	23,372,215	1 per 610 residents	29% above average	🔴 Very High
4	Vermont	1,050	648,493	1 per 618 residents	28% above average	🔴 Very High
5	Arkansas	4,890	3,088,354	1 per 632 residents	26% above average	🔴 Very High
6	Virginia	13,640	8,811,195	1 per 646 residents	25% above average	🔴 Very High
7	Nebraska	3,080	2,005,465	1 per 651 residents	24% above average	🔴 Very High
8	Utah	5,370	3,503,613	1 per 652 residents	24% above average	🔴 Very High
9	New Hampshire	2,120	1,409,032	1 per 665 residents	22% above average	🔴 Very High
10	Maine	2,110	1,405,012	1 per 666 residents	22% above average	🔴 Very High
11	Colorado	8,870	5,957,493	1 per 672 residents	22% above average	🔴 Very High
12	Tennessee	10,510	7,227,750	1 per 688 residents	20% above average	🔴 Very High
13	Arizona	10,850	7,582,384	1 per 699 residents	18% above average	🟠 High
14	Alabama	7,330	5,157,699	1 per 704 residents	18% above average	🟠 High
15	North Dakota	1,100	796,568	1 per 724 residents	16% above average	🟠 High
16	Kansas	4,100	2,970,606	1 per 725 residents	15% above average	🟠 High
17	Kentucky	6,230	4,588,372	1 per 736 residents	14% above average	🟠 High
18	Michigan	13,720	10,140,459	1 per 739 residents	14% above average	🟠 High
19	Missouri	8,360	6,245,466	1 per 747 residents	13% above average	🟠 High
20	Nevada	4,240	3,267,467	1 per 771 residents	10% above average	🟠 High
21	Pennsylvania	16,930	13,078,751	1 per 773 residents	10% above average	🟠 High
22	North Carolina	13,750	11,046,024	1 per 803 residents	6% above average	🟠 High
23	Iowa	3,990	3,241,488	1 per 812 residents	5% above average	🟠 High
24	South Dakota	1,130	924,669	1 per 818 residents	5% above average	🟠 High
25	Connecticut	4,440	3,675,069	1 per 828 residents	3% above average	🟠 High
26	Rhode Island	1,320	1,112,308	1 per 843 residents	2% above average	🟡 Moderate
27	Oklahoma	4,820	4,095,393	1 per 850 residents	1% above average	🟡 Moderate
28	South Carolina	6,370	5,478,831	1 per 860 residents	At national average	🟡 Moderate
29	New York	22,710	19,867,248	1 per 875 residents	2% below average	🟡 Moderate
30	Ohio	13,570	11,883,304	1 per 876 residents	2% below average	🟡 Moderate
31	New Jersey	10,680	9,500,851	1 per 890 residents	4% below average	🟡 Moderate
32	Massachusetts	7,960	7,136,171	1 per 897 residents	5% below average	🟡 Moderate
33	Indiana	7,620	6,924,275	1 per 909 residents	6% below average	🟡 Moderate
34	Louisiana	5,040	4,597,740	1 per 912 residents	6% below average	🟡 Moderate
35	Georgia	12,210	11,180,878	1 per 916 residents	7% below average	🟡 Moderate
36	Alaska	790	740,133	1 per 937 residents	9% below average	🟡 Moderate
37	Texas	32,070	31,290,831	1 per 976 residents	14% below average	🟡 Moderate
38	Maryland	6,380	6,263,220	1 per 982 residents	15% below average	🟡 Moderate
39	Mississippi	2,960	2,943,045	1 per 994 residents	16% below average	🟢 Low
40	Wisconsin	5,930	5,960,975	1 per 1,005 residents	17% below average	🟢 Low
41	Wyoming	570	587,618	1 per 1,031 residents	20% below average	🟢 Low
42	Montana	1,050	1,137,233	1 per 1,083 residents	26% below average	🟢 Low
43	Minnesota	5,190	5,793,151	1 per 1,116 residents	30% below average	🟢 Low
44	Washington	7,090	7,958,180	1 per 1,122 residents	31% below average	🟢 Low
45	Oregon	3,690	4,272,371	1 per 1,158 residents	35% below average	🟢 Low
46	California	34,020	39,431,263	1 per 1,159 residents	35% below average	🟢 Low
47	New Mexico	1,820	2,130,256	1 per 1,170 residents	37% below average	🟢 Low
48	West Virginia	1,450	1,769,979	1 per 1,221 residents	42% below average	🟢 Low
49	Hawaii	1,110	1,446,146	1 per 1,303 residents	52% below average	🟢 Low
50	Illinois	8,510	12,710,158	1 per 1,494 residents	74% below average	🟢 Low
51	District Of Columbia	370	702,250	1 per 1,898 residents	121% below average	🟢 Low

Source: BLS OEWS May 2024 · US Census Vintage 2024 · SOC 49-9021

HVAC Technicians Market Saturationby State (2024)

All States — Ranked by Saturation

Found your target state? Get your personalized HVAC Technician licensing roadmap.

HVAC Technicians Market Saturationby State (2024)

All States — Ranked by Saturation

Found your target state? Get your personalized HVAC Technician licensing roadmap.

HVAC Technicians Market Saturation
by State (2024)

HVAC Technicians Market Saturation
by State (2024)