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Market Saturation Index
Commercial truck drivers operate heavy vehicles to transport goods across states and locally. Use this data to find states with the most demand and the least competition before you commit to getting licensed.
1:164
National average
North Dakota
1 per 76 residents
Most competitive market
District Of Columbia
1 per 846 residents
Most opportunity
Nationally, there is 1 cdl truck driver for every 164 residents. States below this ratio have more professionals per capita than average — a more competitive market. States above it have fewer — more room for new entrants.
Sorted from most saturated (most competitive) to least saturated (most opportunity).
| Rank | State | Employed | Population | Ratio | vs. National | Saturation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Dakota | 10,510 | 796,568 | 1 per 76 residents | 54% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 2 | Nebraska | 24,160 | 2,005,465 | 1 per 83 residents | 49% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 3 | Iowa | 37,430 | 3,241,488 | 1 per 87 residents | 47% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 4 | Wyoming | 6,530 | 587,618 | 1 per 90 residents | 45% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 5 | Arkansas | 32,290 | 3,088,354 | 1 per 96 residents | 41% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 6 | Wisconsin | 52,980 | 5,960,975 | 1 per 113 residents | 31% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 7 | Tennessee | 63,130 | 7,227,750 | 1 per 114 residents | 30% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 8 | Mississippi | 25,490 | 2,943,045 | 1 per 115 residents | 30% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 9 | Indiana | 57,870 | 6,924,275 | 1 per 120 residents | 27% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 10 | Kansas | 23,250 | 2,970,606 | 1 per 128 residents | 22% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 11 | Ohio | 91,090 | 11,883,304 | 1 per 130 residents | 21% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 12 | Missouri | 47,530 | 6,245,466 | 1 per 131 residents | 20% above average | 🔴 Very High |
| 13 | Idaho | 14,860 | 2,001,619 | 1 per 135 residents | 18% above average | 🟠 High |
| 14 | Kentucky | 33,430 | 4,588,372 | 1 per 137 residents | 16% above average | 🟠 High |
| 15 | Alabama | 37,490 | 5,157,699 | 1 per 138 residents | 16% above average | 🟠 High |
| 16 | Maine | 10,180 | 1,405,012 | 1 per 138 residents | 16% above average | 🟠 High |
| 17 | Oklahoma | 29,080 | 4,095,393 | 1 per 141 residents | 14% above average | 🟠 High |
| 18 | Utah | 24,280 | 3,503,613 | 1 per 144 residents | 12% above average | 🟠 High |
| 19 | Pennsylvania | 90,160 | 13,078,751 | 1 per 145 residents | 12% above average | 🟠 High |
| 20 | Texas | 212,700 | 31,290,831 | 1 per 147 residents | 10% above average | 🟠 High |
| 21 | Georgia | 75,700 | 11,180,878 | 1 per 148 residents | 10% above average | 🟠 High |
| 22 | Minnesota | 38,530 | 5,793,151 | 1 per 150 residents | 9% above average | 🟠 High |
| 23 | West Virginia | 11,560 | 1,769,979 | 1 per 153 residents | 7% above average | 🟠 High |
| 24 | South Dakota | 5,990 | 924,669 | 1 per 154 residents | 6% above average | 🟠 High |
| 25 | Virginia | 55,430 | 8,811,195 | 1 per 159 residents | 3% above average | 🟠 High |
| 26 | Montana | 7,050 | 1,137,233 | 1 per 161 residents | 2% above average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 27 | Illinois | 76,650 | 12,710,158 | 1 per 166 residents | 1% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 28 | South Carolina | 32,700 | 5,478,831 | 1 per 168 residents | 2% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 29 | Michigan | 59,910 | 10,140,459 | 1 per 169 residents | 3% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 30 | North Carolina | 64,610 | 11,046,024 | 1 per 171 residents | 4% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 31 | Oregon | 24,720 | 4,272,371 | 1 per 173 residents | 5% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 32 | Louisiana | 26,260 | 4,597,740 | 1 per 175 residents | 7% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 33 | Delaware | 5,950 | 1,051,917 | 1 per 177 residents | 8% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 34 | Arizona | 42,270 | 7,582,384 | 1 per 179 residents | 9% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 35 | California | 211,740 | 39,431,263 | 1 per 186 residents | 13% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 36 | Nevada | 17,430 | 3,267,467 | 1 per 187 residents | 14% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 37 | New Jersey | 49,450 | 9,500,851 | 1 per 192 residents | 17% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 38 | Vermont | 3,370 | 648,493 | 1 per 192 residents | 17% below average | 🟡 Moderate |
| 39 | Washington | 40,700 | 7,958,180 | 1 per 196 residents | 20% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 40 | New Mexico | 10,850 | 2,130,256 | 1 per 196 residents | 20% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 41 | New Hampshire | 6,730 | 1,409,032 | 1 per 209 residents | 27% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 42 | Colorado | 27,840 | 5,957,493 | 1 per 214 residents | 30% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 43 | Florida | 105,730 | 23,372,215 | 1 per 221 residents | 35% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 44 | Massachusetts | 32,170 | 7,136,171 | 1 per 222 residents | 35% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 45 | Alaska | 3,240 | 740,133 | 1 per 228 residents | 39% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 46 | Connecticut | 15,860 | 3,675,069 | 1 per 232 residents | 41% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 47 | Maryland | 23,910 | 6,263,220 | 1 per 262 residents | 60% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 48 | New York | 61,410 | 19,867,248 | 1 per 324 residents | 98% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 49 | Rhode Island | 3,260 | 1,112,308 | 1 per 341 residents | 108% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 50 | Hawaii | 4,100 | 1,446,146 | 1 per 353 residents | 115% below average | 🟢 Low |
| 51 | District Of Columbia | 830 | 702,250 | 1 per 846 residents | 416% below average | 🟢 Low |
Source: BLS OEWS May 2024 · US Census Vintage 2024 · SOC 53-3032
🟢 LOW Saturation — Most Opportunity
Fewer cdl truck drivers per resident means less competition for clients, higher potential rates, and easier path to building a sustainable book of business. Ideal if you're entering the profession or relocating.
🔴 VERY HIGH Saturation — Need to Differentiate
Many cdl truck drivers per resident means you'll face more competition. Success in these markets requires a niche specialization, strong referral network, or competitive pricing. Not impossible — just harder.
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